Inicio:
Argentina are favoured with a 55% win probability in this knockout tie. Market-implied indicators signals point to a tight, low-scoring match, with Argentina are expected to control the main game state, and Suiza may struggle to find the net. Scoring pressure is more likely to build after half-time than arrive early.
1-1
37,3 %
1-0
18,3 %
2-0
11,6 %
2-1
7,9 %
0-0
6,7 %
0-1
4,6 %
El ganador se enfrentará a Inglaterra en Semifinales
This match profiles as low-scoring, with over 2.5 goals implied at 42.1% probability. Argentina are expected to score at least once with 77.8% certainty, and a single goal is the most likely outcome (Over 1.5: 47.4%). Suiza's scoring outlook is more limited — their over 0.5 goals probability sits at 53.2%, meaning a clean sheet for Argentina remains a realistic outcome at 47.4%.
The second half is projected to carry more weight, with 72.5% probability of at least one second-half goal versus 61.5% in the first half. Team to Score First favours Argentina at 59.2%, while a goalless first 45 minutes has a 11.9% chance.
The most likely match script is Argentina at half-time, Argentina at full-time (30.9%). The second most probable path is a draw at half-time, Argentina at full-time (19.8%), meaning Argentina break a level first half to win. Suiza's most likely winning script is Suiza at half-time, Suiza at full-time (8.4%). A comeback scenario — Suiza leading then Argentina winning — sits at just 3.2%.
Suiza enter as clear underdogs at 17.5% win probability. Their advancement chance, including extra time and penalties, rises to approximately 31.0%. The Double Chance market prices Draw/Suiza at 22.1%, meaning Suiza have a realistic path to at least forcing extra time.